NFL Championship Game Previews

AFC

My pick is Bills +3 and Under 54

Against the spread this year:

Bills: 12-6, Last 7: 6-1, Away: 5-3, Underdog: 4-1

Chiefs: 7-10, Last 6: 1-5, Home: 3-6, Favorite: 6-9

Injuries

Bills: No starters

Chiefs: Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB (Q), Le’Veon Bell RB (Q), Sammy Watkins WR (Q), Willie Gay LB (Q)

Travis Kelce has less than 70 receiving yards in every game he has played versus the Bills.
Bills have won 4 straight AFC playoff games.

Not under pressure Josh Allen has 31 TD’s this year, in his first 2 seasons he had 21 total not under pressure.

In week 6 the Chiefs had 245 rushing yards. Edwards-Helaire had 161 and he is probably not going to play. Mahomes had 36 and his ankle is banged up from last week.

The Bills also held Tyreek Hill to 3 receptions for 20 yards and 0 touchdowns. The Chiefs D had 0 sacks.

My final score prediction is 20-14 Bills win.

NFC

My pick is Packers -3.5 and Over 52.

Against the spread this year:

TB: 10-8, Last 7: 5-2, Away: 5-5, Underdog: 3-1

GB: 11-6, Last 6: 4-2, Home: 6-3, Favorite: 9-5

Injuries

TB: Antonio Brown WR OUT, Ronald Jones RB (Q), Mike Evans WR (Q), Chris Godwin WR (Q), Jason Pierre-Paul LB (Q), Jordan Whitehead FS (Q), Sean Murphy-Bunting CB (Q)

GB: Jamaal Williams RB (Q), AJ Dillon RB (Q), Allen Lazard WR (Q), Rick Wagner RT (Q), Mason Crosby K (Q), Krys Barnes LB (Q), Za’Darius Smith LB (Q)

Rodgers has 5 interceptions this year (2 against the Buccaneers week 6)

In 4 career NFC Championship games Rodgers is 1-3 (all 4 previous were on the road)

Davante Adams this year outside the numbers gives Rodgers a 137.7 passer rating (1st in the NFL). The Buccaneers allowed the most completions outside the numbers this year (179). Davante Adams’ biggest strength is the Buccaneers biggest weakness.

In week 6: Ronald Jones had 113 rush yards and 2 touchdowns and might be inactive Sunday.

In week 6: Rodgers threw an INT on back 2 back possessions for the first time since 2016-2017.

Final Score prediction: 40-14 Packers win